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SNI: WEEK 19

  • 3 days ago
  • 6 min read
photo of sun with text sector updates: wk 19

Welcome to all the AI news that matters this week – across tech, biopharma, medtech, advanced manufacturing and insurance. The wins, the fails and the somewhere in-betweens.


tl;dr: Professional doom mongering is out of fashion.


Say it quietly, because AI dooming is almost deafening in popular circles. But it might actually be tapering off among commentators, as various forces pull attitudes in the opposite direction.


An Ezra Klein essay, argued the AI job apocalypse is structurally implausible - pointing out that economists are largely sceptical of mass-joblessness predictions.


The labour market signals agreed: software engineering job postings are up 18% and US graduate unemployment is down to 5% - while new-grad hiring is up 5.6%. A blip? Or something more?


Perhaps these grads are working at startups? Atlas - Stripe's online service for incorporating U.S. companies - reached 100,000 incorporations, with first-quarter formations up 130%. And job prospects look good at Anthropic too - its annual run rate is estimated to have increased from $9bn to $44bn. In less than six months. Feel free to skip back and read that again.


All this good cheer seems to be taking the edge off of doom scenarios among policymakers as well. The EU agreed to slim down the AI Act and push high-risk obligations to 2027, the first material reversal in the Brussels timetable since enactment.


Big capital is also ratifying the vibe shift. Anthropic, Blackstone and Goldman Sachs launched a $1.5bn enterprise AI services joint venture. AI engineers will soon be sitting next to clinicians, underwriters and operations leads. And OpenAI leaked its $10bn Deployment Company with the same thesis - there's no AI transformation without organisational change - and the last mile of deployment is the knot to be unknotted. To complete the set, Sierra closed a $950m round at a valuation north of $15bn.


Microsoft's Work Trend Index explained why the sudden rush to consulting - only 19% per cent of enterprises have both high levels of individual capability and organisational readiness. And a growing segment of skilled employees are stuck in unready organisations. Venture capital seems keen to fund services arms and get the rubber in contact with the road for the sake of their earlier investments.


So, with this news absorbed, reports of Anthropic weighing a $50bn round at a near-trillion-dollar valuation, gave the doom thesis an even harder kick. As did their deal with SpaceX for roughly 220,000 GPUs and 300MW of compute. Again proving that capital is rerouting to whoever can secure power.


But some press framing kept lagging behind the data. Cypto business Coinbase laid off 14 per cent of staff - and cited AI acceleration - just as Robinhood reported its crypto trading revenue was down 47% year-on-year.


Which just goes to prove that the doom narrative has begun to dissipate. But it is certainly not dead yet.


And on that note, here's everything else worth reading this week:


AI & tech:


Biopharma:



Medtech:



Advanced manufacturing:



Insurance:



But what set podcast tongues a-wagging?


China's not what you think it is.


Azeem Azhar on the Exponential View reports from a week in China where he discovered that Zhipu alone is serving 5.5 trillion tokens per day and that developers are joining the platform at the rate of 10 per minute.


And this is despite compute constraints being universal across the labs he visited, largely due the shortage of Nvidia chips. However, Azeem contends, research and product velocity continue regardless. Perhaps even more surprisingly, Anthropic's Claude is the preferred technical-team choice in Chinese labs, despite the geopolitical decoupling story. Policymaker intentions do not seem to be making major inroads on practitioner behaviours.


New roles are arriving.


Aaron Levy at Box is hiring agent engineering roles, reports Nathaniel Whittemore on the AI Daily Brief. These are internal FTEs whose only job is to wire agents to run on top of Box, Salesforce and Workday. The point? Agents expose an infinite backlog of work that was always there, hidden behind execution capacity. And it means that the work no longer drains you through typing. It drains you through judgement. The bottleneck for the next 24 months will be coordination, evaluation, context curation and the human ability to keep up.


The Western AI stack is a foreign-policy lever.


Despite Azeem Azhar's findings on China, Sarah Rogers, Under Secretary of State for Public Diplomacy, on the a16z Show frames AI free-speech as a foreign-policy priority on par with internet freedom in the early 2010s. Rogers names American structural advantages 'that a lot of people don't appreciate' – and presents EU regulation as the petri dish for similar US legislation.


Users cuddle up to deterministic AI before they use agents.


Descript CEO Laura Burkhauser on the Cognitive Revolution maps the hierarchy of AI tooling inside a video editor base. Purpose-built deterministic features – studio sound, green screen, voice overdub – are universally loved. Agentic editing copilots like Descript's Underlord are wanted but flagged as not-yet-good-enough.


Thank you for reading this week's report. Come back next week for all the AI news you need to know in your sector.


 
 
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